我国油气资源量—储量—产量关系解析: 兼评全国油气资源评价发展方向

Relationship among oil and gas resources, reserves and production in China and suggestions for the development direction of national oil and gas resource assessment

胡洪瑾 李登华 赵凯 姜文利 郑志红 高阳 昝昕 姜航 贾君 高煖

HU Hongjin LI Denghua ZHAO Kai JIANG Wenli ZHENG Zhihong GAO Yang ZAN Xin JIANG Hang JIA Jun GAO Xuan

自然资源部 油气资源战略研究中心, 北京 100860 中海油研究总院, 北京 100028

Strategic Research Center of Oil and Gas Resources, Ministry of Natural Resources, Beijing 100860, China CNOOC Research Institute Ltd., Beijing 100028, China

为了加深对资源量、储量、产量三者的内涵和实质关联的正确理解，从理论逻辑和实际转化两个角度对三者的关系作了深入的剖析和阐述，并结合应用现状分析，提出了资源评价方面发展方向建议。资源量、储量、产量是不同认识程度下的油气矿产资源的数量表征参数，我国的储量与资源量呈并列关系，与产量呈包含关系，资源量与储量均为地质含义。资源量向储量转化受国家空间规划、矿业权设置、理论技术经济条件等因素的影响；储量向产量转化受储量升级转化、是否转采、采收率等因素的影响。我国在资源量评估与发布的侧重方向，以及资源量、储量、产量量化预测关系等方面研究尚不足，这也是形成“我国资源潜力丰富，但增储上产难度大”资源现状认知困惑的重要原因。资源评价内容及结果应用分析的丰富和发展，有助于形成对油气资源现状的全面深入的认识。应从对评价结果进行可动性分级、加强（待发现）可采资源量评价、强化成果应用分析等方面进一步探索发展。

In order to understand the connotation and substantive relationship among oil and gas resources, reserves and production on a deeper level, this paper made an in-depth analysis and elaboration on the relationship among the three from the perspectives of theoretical logic and practical transformation, and presented suggestions for the development direction of resource assessment based on the analysis of application status. Resources, reserves and production are estimated quantities of oil and gas mineral resources under different levels of understanding. In China's classification system, reserves and resources are in a parallel relationship, and reserves and production are in an inclusive relationship. Both resources and reserves are geological meanings. The transformation from resources to reserves is affected by factors such as national spatial planning, mining right setting, theoretical technical and economic conditions, and the transformation from reserves to production is affected by factors such as reserves upgrading and transformation, whether to convert to mining, recovery factor, etc. China still has some deficiencies in resource assessment and release, as well as quantitative prediction of resources, reserves and production, which is also an important reason for the cognitive confusion of "China has rich resource potential but it is difficult to increase reserves and production". The enrichment and development of resource assessment contents and results application analysis will help to form a comprehensive and in-depth understanding of the current situation of oil and gas resources. It should be further explored and developed in the future from the following respects: mobility classification of assessment results, assessment of (undiscovered) recoverable resources and application analysis of results.

自然资源部二级项目 2022YQZYPJ

https://doi.org/10.11781/sysydz202302222