油气资源的动态预测与经济分析

DYNAMIC FORECAST AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF OIL AND GAS RESOURCES

刘毅 刘敏 陈强路

Liu Yi Liu Min Chen Qianglu

地矿部石油地质中心实验室, 无锡, 214151

Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration &. Development, CNSPC, Wuxi 214151

本文应用概率统计理论和随机抽样模拟技术,建立了勘探过程模拟法,动态地研究油气勘探过程中资源量的发现与勘探工诈量之间的关系.它能预测探区资源量有多少、油气成的规模及可能的数目、为获得某一资源量应投入的勘探工作量、费用与勘探效果等.这方面的信息将有助于探区进一步的油气勘探部署.

The probability statistical theory and stochastic sampling modeling technology are used to establish an exploration process modeling method and dynamically study the relationship between the discovery of resource amount and the work load of exploration during the exploration of oil and gas. This method can forecast the resource amount of a prospect area, the scale and possible number of oil and gas pools, and the expioration work load, cost and effect for some resource. These information will be helpful for the further exporation and development of oil and gas in the prospect area.

国家“八·五”攻关课题85-101-02-04-03

https://doi.org/10.11781/sysydz199801055