分形理论在油田开发指标预测中的应用

2004年 11卷 第03期
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The Application of Fractal Theory to Predict Development Targets in Oilfield


吴晓伟1  史有刚1  于秋霞2  罗述华2  鲍世军1  崔明礼1
Wu Xiaowei,Shi Yougang ,Yu Qiuxia,et al.


1.胜利油田有限公司临盘采油厂 2.胜利油田有限公司孤东采油厂
油田开发指标预测对于油田配产、制定下步开发措施、编制开发方案等具有重要意义。采用累积极和及平移方法进行一系列变换,从中选出一种变换,使变换后的数据能与分形分布模型符合良好,亦即使变换后的数据能用分形分布来处理。运用分形理论对临盘油田年产油、含水率两项开发指标进行预测,矿场实验结果表明:预测值与实际值误差较小,可以用于指导生产。
Prediction of development targets in oilfield is significant on
distributing oil production , planning next development measure
and oilfield development scheme. Data were transformed with
method of accumulation and displacement. From the result we
select a group of data which is suitable with fratal model ,namely ,
using fractal theory to predict annual output ,water cut of Linpan
oilfield , the results are accordance with the actual value in
oilfield. It can be regarded as a guidance of oil production.
Finally , the paper points out the applied value and prospect of
this method in forecasting the development targets.


分形理论 开发指标 预测 年产量 含水率;
Fractal theory ,Development target ,Prediction ,Annual output ,Water cut.


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