勘探成败之我见

Views on exploration success or failure

钱基

Qian Ji

人们对油气勘探成败的认识,仁者见仁,智者见智。但是,地质家在勘探的过程中却常常产生悲观情绪。这种悲观情绪大多发生在一个油区的重大发现之后和进入快速发现之前这一阶段。产生悲观的主要原因有3个:一是这一阶段对油气分布规律的认识尚不成熟,所采取的勘探技术针对性也不够强;二是除了地质规律之外,缺乏对油气勘探发现规律的把握;三是由于存在人类总是高估自己的知识的弱点,地质家对知之甚少的领域常常自我设置禁区的思维定式阻碍了认识的深化。

Different people have different views on petroleum exploration success or failure.But during the exploration process,geologists couldn't help feeling blue.Their pessimistic moods often occur in the period after achieving a major breakthrough and before getting on a fast track of discovery in an oil region.There are three reasons for this mood:incomprehensive understanding of petroleum distributions and inappropriate choices of exploration technologies;weak mastery of petroleum exploration patterns apart from the geological rules;and geologists'fixed thinking modes always preventing them from cutting down deeper into the researches because of an inherent weakness of overestimating their knowledge.

10.11743/ogg20070502